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Red143
2915114.6
1359116.5
6465130.6
Blue407
4057135.1
4110106.6
957172.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253358100200300400500600143407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6465
#15
130.60.6
131.2130.6
Auto16.2
Teleop100.1
End15.7
blue by 42.1
957
#2
172.72.8
164.9167.7
Auto21.7
Teleop131.4
End21.7
Second
1359
#22
116.51.3
115.0116.3
Auto15.6
Teleop90.0
End10.9
blue by 18.6
4057
#13
135.10.1
134.6134.7
Auto19.5
Teleop98.4
End16.6
Third
2915
#35
114.61.5
116.1114.6
Auto13.2
Teleop91.1
End8.1
red by 8.0
4110
#30
106.60.5
106.1106.6
Auto15.7
Teleop79.3
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed