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Red325
2635168.0
7034141.7
5970116.8
Blue471
4662142.7
2411122.3
2471186.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294346200250400450500550325471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.00.4
167.5167.8
Auto22.0
Teleop129.7
End14.3
blue by 18.8
186.82.9
178.3181.2
Auto19.7
Teleop126.5
End44.9
Second
7034
#19
141.70.9
140.4141.3
Auto18.7
Teleop95.9
End26.4
blue by 1.1
4662
#14
142.70.2
142.1142.3
Auto16.8
Teleop107.3
End17.8
Third
5970
#25
116.80.0
116.7116.8
Auto14.6
Teleop96.5
End5.1
blue by 5.6
2411
#16
122.30.9
120.6121.5
Auto14.9
Teleop92.7
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed36%Face the Boss oddsEarned