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Red229
955115.7
720499.8
997151.4
Blue374
4043110.4
5975124.6
4692112.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307259100200400500600229374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
#10
151.40.5
152.4151.9
Auto18.9
Teleop119.3
End14.4
red by 26.8
5975
#29
124.60.3
124.5124.2
Auto16.6
Teleop99.5
End7.5
Second
955
#24
115.70.2
115.9115.7
Auto14.5
Teleop87.0
End12.7
red by 2.9
4692
#18
112.81.6
109.8111.4
Auto17.4
Teleop85.4
End11.4
Third
7204
#28
99.81.1
98.799.8
Auto17.4
Teleop77.9
End6.4
blue by 10.6
4043
#32
110.40.1
110.3110.4
Auto14.9
Teleop77.8
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed