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Red401
4513180.9
2046202.5
6465118.0
Blue237
5803159.2
2811175.3
5970126.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391288100200500600700401237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.50.7
201.1201.8
Auto26.4
Teleop148.3
End28.4
red by 27.2
175.30.6
174.2174.8
Auto22.8
Teleop130.6
End20.1
Second
180.90.6
179.6180.3
Auto21.8
Teleop133.8
End25.2
red by 21.7
159.20.3
158.7158.9
Auto26.1
Teleop119.6
End12.3
Third
6465
#18
118.00.4
117.2117.6
Auto14.9
Teleop94.4
End9.7
blue by 8.5
5970
#28
126.60.4
127.4127.0
Auto16.0
Teleop102.5
End4.9