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Red219
3711145.5
1540144.0
2411120.3
Blue354
4125133.9
5468145.4
6445129.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311295100200400500600219354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.50.1
145.4145.5
Auto19.5
Teleop107.1
End19.9
red by 0.1
5468
#10
145.40.1
145.3145.3
Auto18.2
Teleop108.7
End16.3
Second
144.00.4
143.7144.0
Auto20.2
Teleop113.9
End10.6
red by 10.1
4125
#21
133.90.2
133.4133.6
Auto15.4
Teleop104.0
End13.1
Third
2411
#20
120.30.2
120.4120.3
Auto12.5
Teleop91.4
End15.9
blue by 9.2
6445
#17
129.50.4
128.4128.8
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End11.9