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Red174
1510140.6
2733144.3
3131112.4
Blue372
6831140.1
4662127.2
2374125.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286320100200400500174372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.30.5
143.8144.3
Auto21.8
Teleop109.1
End12.4
red by 4.2
6831
#12
140.10.8
137.7138.5
Auto17.2
Teleop110.9
End13.9
Second
140.60.4
140.2140.6
Auto16.6
Teleop106.4
End18.3
red by 13.4
127.20.3
126.1126.4
Auto15.6
Teleop99.6
End13.5
Third
3131
#24
112.40.3
112.7112.4
Auto14.0
Teleop89.0
End9.2
blue by 12.6
2374
#22
125.00.5
123.2123.8
Auto18.9
Teleop94.7
End13.5