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Red292
5803159.2
2811175.3
5970126.6
Blue231
4125133.9
5468145.4
6445129.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375256100200300500600700292231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.30.6
173.6174.2
Auto22.8
Teleop130.6
End20.1
red by 29.9
5468
#10
145.40.0
145.4145.4
Auto18.2
Teleop108.7
End16.3
Second
159.20.3
158.3158.7
Auto26.1
Teleop119.6
End12.3
red by 25.3
4125
#21
133.90.1
133.8133.9
Auto15.4
Teleop104.0
End13.1
Third
5970
#28
126.60.4
127.9127.4
Auto16.0
Teleop102.5
End4.9
blue by 2.9
6445
#17
129.50.3
129.2129.5
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End11.9