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Red302
5803159.2
2811175.3
5970126.6
Blue94
2550130.2
3674146.9
5975127.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38525710020030050060030294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.30.8
171.5172.3
Auto22.8
Teleop130.6
End20.1
red by 28.4
3674
#11
146.90.3
146.4146.7
Auto16.6
Teleop106.0
End25.7
Second
159.20.4
157.3157.7
Auto26.1
Teleop119.6
End12.3
red by 29.0
2550
#23
130.20.1
130.2130.2
Auto22.5
Teleop92.7
End15.5
Third
5970
#28
126.60.5
129.5129.0
Auto16.0
Teleop102.5
End4.9
blue by 0.7
5975
#14
127.20.0
127.3127.3
Auto16.7
Teleop100.0
End9.7