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Red590
4692111.9
508599.8
4513180.9
Blue44
289897.6
367388.6
720494.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330167010020040050060070059044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.910.7
115.4126.1
Auto21.8
Teleop133.8
End25.2
red by 83.3
2898
#34
97.65.6
93.098.6
Auto13.7
Teleop78.2
End7.0
Second
4692
#26
111.97.0
103.9110.9
Auto14.8
Teleop87.5
End9.9
red by 17.4
7204
#25
94.42.5
84.987.5
Auto15.3
Teleop78.1
End1.0
Third
5085
#35
99.81.7
103.6105.3
Auto15.0
Teleop79.9
End5.5
red by 11.2
3673
#31
88.64.7
89.193.8
Auto11.1
Teleop66.6
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed