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Red210
4662127.2
1540144.0
3711145.5
Blue187
4132101.8
753130.7
405195.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3432110100300400500600700210187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.59.1
116.4125.6
Auto19.5
Teleop107.1
End19.9
red by 14.8
753
#16
130.76.3
106.6112.9
Auto16.0
Teleop99.2
End14.3
Second
144.07.7
119.3127.0
Auto20.2
Teleop113.9
End10.6
red by 42.3
4132
#33
101.85.6
93.198.7
Auto13.8
Teleop79.5
End9.3
Third
127.27.0
105.7112.7
Auto15.6
Teleop99.6
End13.5
red by 31.5
4051
#32
95.76.7
98.2104.9
Auto13.4
Teleop76.9
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed