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Red229
2411120.3
5975127.2
6465118.0
Blue90
6831140.1
143298.8
6696121.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26824604006008001,00022990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5975
#14
127.25.6
101.3106.9
Auto16.7
Teleop100.0
End9.7
blue by 12.9
6831
#12
140.19.5
92.0101.5
Auto17.2
Teleop110.9
End13.9
Second
2411
#20
120.37.5
98.8106.3
Auto12.5
Teleop91.4
End15.9
blue by 1.5
6696
#13
121.74.7
96.4101.1
Auto15.4
Teleop95.3
End12.3
Third
6465
#18
118.05.9
93.499.3
Auto14.9
Teleop94.4
End9.7
red by 19.3
1432
#29
98.82.0
101.7103.7
Auto15.7
Teleop78.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed