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Red283
5468145.4
5803159.2
695993.7
Blue275
2811175.3
6445129.5
5970126.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2653000100200400500600700283275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.25.8
121.4127.2
Auto26.1
Teleop119.6
End12.3
blue by 16.1
175.39.2
115.0124.2
Auto22.8
Teleop130.6
End20.1
Second
5468
#10
145.48.5
114.6123.1
Auto18.2
Teleop108.7
End16.3
red by 15.9
6445
#17
129.51.0
116.4117.4
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End11.9
Third
6959
#30
93.73.4
85.588.9
Auto12.8
Teleop76.9
End4.1
blue by 32.8
5970
#28
126.63.9
116.2120.1
Auto16.0
Teleop102.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed