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Red371
2046202.5
4125133.9
1571105.6
Blue214
597788.8
6696121.7
753130.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3212180100400500600700371214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.510.1
131.0141.0
Auto26.4
Teleop148.3
End28.4
red by 71.8
753
#16
130.74.4
112.9117.3
Auto16.0
Teleop99.2
End14.3
Second
4125
#21
133.93.7
112.4116.1
Auto15.4
Teleop104.0
End13.1
red by 12.2
6696
#13
121.71.4
101.1102.5
Auto15.4
Teleop95.3
End12.3
Third
1571
#19
105.62.8
96.699.4
Auto13.6
Teleop87.9
End3.0
red by 16.8
5977
#36
88.84.9
91.496.3
Auto13.1
Teleop72.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed