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Red436
6845124.7
4513180.9
2733144.3
Blue196
508599.8
1540144.0
4127108.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306259100200400500436196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.99.0
126.1135.0
Auto21.8
Teleop133.8
End25.2
red by 36.9
144.03.6
127.0130.5
Auto20.2
Teleop113.9
End10.6
Second
144.38.3
105.4113.7
Auto21.8
Teleop109.1
End12.4
red by 36.2
4127
#27
108.17.0
95.5102.5
Auto17.1
Teleop79.5
End13.6
Third
6845
#15
124.74.0
96.7100.7
Auto16.9
Teleop93.3
End14.5
red by 24.8
5085
#35
99.82.9
105.3108.2
Auto15.0
Teleop79.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed