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Red237
5970126.6
4692111.9
720494.4
Blue258
6445129.5
3131112.4
3674146.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2422930100200400500237258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5970
#28
126.63.3
120.1123.4
Auto16.0
Teleop102.5
End4.9
blue by 20.3
3674
#11
146.93.7
134.8138.5
Auto16.6
Teleop106.0
End25.7
Second
4692
#26
111.96.5
110.9117.3
Auto14.8
Teleop87.5
End9.9
blue by 17.6
6445
#17
129.51.3
117.4118.6
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End11.9
Third
7204
#25
94.40.2
87.587.2
Auto15.3
Teleop78.1
End1.0
blue by 18.0
3131
#24
112.45.3
94.8100.1
Auto14.0
Teleop89.0
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed