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Red170
405195.7
2411120.3
4125133.9
Blue180
5975127.2
695993.7
2733144.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3002570100200400500600170180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4125
#21
133.92.4
120.9123.4
Auto15.4
Teleop104.0
End13.1
blue by 10.4
144.38.9
113.7122.6
Auto21.8
Teleop109.1
End12.4
Second
2411
#20
120.36.7
106.3113.0
Auto12.5
Teleop91.4
End15.9
blue by 7.0
5975
#14
127.25.4
106.9112.3
Auto16.7
Teleop100.0
End9.7
Third
4051
#32
95.74.8
104.9109.7
Auto13.4
Teleop76.9
End6.0
red by 2.0
6959
#30
93.73.2
88.992.1
Auto12.8
Teleop76.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed