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Red365
4513180.9
6445129.5
6696121.7
Blue94
6465118.0
3711145.5
703278.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309240010020040050060036594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.99.4
135.0144.4
Auto21.8
Teleop133.8
End25.2
red by 35.4
145.55.0
130.1135.1
Auto19.5
Teleop107.1
End19.9
Second
6445
#17
129.50.4
118.6119.0
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End11.9
red by 11.4
6465
#18
118.02.2
104.8107.0
Auto14.9
Teleop94.4
End9.7
Third
6696
#13
121.71.2
102.5103.7
Auto15.4
Teleop95.3
End12.3
red by 43.0
7032
#37
78.70.0
90.290.3
Auto11.1
Teleop68.8
End-6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed