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Red274
1540144.0
3131112.4
5468145.4
Blue246
5803159.2
1571105.6
2550130.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2603270100200400500600274246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#10
145.43.1
129.8133.0
Auto18.2
Teleop108.7
End16.3
blue by 13.8
159.26.3
132.0138.3
Auto26.1
Teleop119.6
End12.3
Second
144.01.3
130.5131.9
Auto20.2
Teleop113.9
End10.6
red by 13.8
2550
#23
130.21.2
129.7130.8
Auto22.5
Teleop92.7
End15.5
Third
3131
#24
112.43.1
100.1103.2
Auto14.0
Teleop89.0
End9.2
red by 6.8
1571
#19
105.64.2
99.4103.7
Auto13.6
Teleop87.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed