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Red239
6696121.7
2550130.2
6845124.7
Blue389
720494.4
5803159.2
2733144.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270273240260280300320340360380239389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2550
#23
130.21.0
130.8129.8
Auto22.5
Teleop92.7
End15.5
blue by 29.0
159.22.4
138.3140.8
Auto26.1
Teleop119.6
End12.3
Second
6845
#15
124.76.9
106.7113.6
Auto16.9
Teleop93.3
End14.5
blue by 19.6
144.34.0
122.6126.7
Auto21.8
Teleop109.1
End12.4
Third
6696
#13
121.71.9
103.7105.6
Auto15.4
Teleop95.3
End12.3
red by 27.3
7204
#25
94.40.5
86.987.4
Auto15.3
Teleop78.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed