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Red438
289897.6
5975127.2
1540144.0
Blue218
3131112.4
1510140.6
597788.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3162400100200400500600438218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.02.4
133.7136.1
Auto20.2
Teleop113.9
End10.6
red by 3.4
140.64.3
122.3126.6
Auto16.6
Teleop106.4
End18.3
Second
5975
#14
127.24.2
117.8122.0
Auto16.7
Teleop100.0
End9.7
red by 14.8
3131
#24
112.43.7
106.2109.9
Auto14.0
Teleop89.0
End9.2
Third
2898
#34
97.60.3
105.5105.8
Auto13.7
Teleop78.2
End7.0
red by 8.8
5977
#36
88.81.7
102.7101.0
Auto13.1
Teleop72.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed