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Red383
2811175.3
2411120.3
5803159.2
Blue103
6445129.5
703278.7
695993.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3951680100200300500600700383103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.36.6
148.2154.8
Auto22.8
Teleop130.6
End20.1
red by 45.8
6445
#17
129.52.0
120.4122.4
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End11.9
Second
159.23.9
140.8144.7
Auto26.1
Teleop119.6
End12.3
red by 65.5
6959
#30
93.72.4
93.595.9
Auto12.8
Teleop76.9
End4.1
Third
2411
#20
120.30.7
116.0116.6
Auto12.5
Teleop91.4
End15.9
red by 41.5
7032
#37
78.71.8
87.789.5
Auto11.1
Teleop68.8
End-6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed