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Red172
405195.7
6465118.0
3131112.4
Blue319
720494.4
4513180.9
4125133.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2053430100300400500600172319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6465
#18
118.01.3
106.6107.9
Auto14.9
Teleop94.4
End9.7
blue by 62.9
180.94.6
157.8162.4
Auto21.8
Teleop133.8
End25.2
Second
3131
#24
112.41.9
109.9111.8
Auto14.0
Teleop89.0
End9.2
blue by 21.5
4125
#21
133.92.5
124.3126.8
Auto15.4
Teleop104.0
End13.1
Third
4051
#32
95.73.5
110.3106.8
Auto13.4
Teleop76.9
End6.0
red by 1.3
7204
#25
94.41.9
89.891.6
Auto15.3
Teleop78.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed