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Red220
5975127.2
6696121.7
2374125.0
Blue374
6445129.5
4662127.2
2046202.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2133690100300400500600220374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5975
#14
127.22.7
122.0124.7
Auto16.7
Teleop100.0
End9.7
blue by 75.3
202.55.5
176.7182.3
Auto26.4
Teleop148.3
End28.4
Second
2374
#22
125.00.8
116.3117.1
Auto18.9
Teleop94.7
End13.5
blue by 4.5
6445
#17
129.50.4
122.4122.0
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End11.9
Third
6696
#13
121.73.3
107.9111.1
Auto15.4
Teleop95.3
End12.3
blue by 5.5
127.21.6
127.8126.2
Auto15.6
Teleop99.6
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed