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Red60
4127108.1
6845124.7
4692111.9
Blue327
1510140.6
2411120.3
5468145.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255335010020030040050060060327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6845
#15
124.72.5
119.2121.7
Auto16.9
Teleop93.3
End14.5
blue by 20.7
5468
#10
145.42.8
139.8142.6
Auto18.2
Teleop108.7
End16.3
Second
4692
#26
111.90.2
120.4120.2
Auto14.8
Teleop87.5
End9.9
blue by 28.8
140.62.3
126.6128.9
Auto16.6
Teleop106.4
End18.3
Third
4127
#27
108.11.7
112.6114.3
Auto17.1
Teleop79.5
End13.6
blue by 12.2
2411
#20
120.30.9
116.6117.6
Auto12.5
Teleop91.4
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned