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Red247
508599.8
2550130.2
6445129.5
Blue248
143298.8
4692111.9
5975127.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2862510100200400500247248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2550
#23
130.20.4
130.7130.3
Auto22.5
Teleop92.7
End15.5
red by 3.0
5975
#14
127.20.1
127.2127.2
Auto16.7
Teleop100.0
End9.7
Second
6445
#17
129.51.3
125.4126.7
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End11.9
red by 17.6
4692
#26
111.92.7
116.2113.5
Auto14.8
Teleop87.5
End9.9
Third
5085
#35
99.80.4
98.999.3
Auto15.0
Teleop79.9
End5.5
red by 1.1
1432
#29
98.81.3
96.497.7
Auto15.7
Teleop78.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed