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Red254
703278.7
597788.8
2046202.5
Blue155
4132101.8
5970126.6
3131112.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278264150200300350400450254155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.54.8
190.5195.3
Auto26.4
Teleop148.3
End28.4
red by 76.0
5970
#28
126.60.1
130.6130.5
Auto16.0
Teleop102.5
End4.9
Second
5977
#36
88.82.6
94.191.5
Auto13.1
Teleop72.0
End0.8
blue by 23.6
3131
#24
112.41.0
112.1113.0
Auto14.0
Teleop89.0
End9.2
Third
7032
#37
78.73.1
84.981.8
Auto11.1
Teleop68.8
End-6.5
blue by 23.0
4132
#33
101.81.3
104.6103.3
Auto13.8
Teleop79.5
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed