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Red267
4125133.9
3711145.5
289897.6
Blue292
1540144.0
3674146.9
2411120.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413190100200400500600267292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.51.2
142.2143.4
Auto19.5
Teleop107.1
End19.9
blue by 1.3
3674
#11
146.90.7
146.7146.0
Auto16.6
Teleop106.0
End25.7
Second
4125
#21
133.91.8
129.1131.0
Auto15.4
Teleop104.0
End13.1
blue by 10.1
144.01.9
139.0140.9
Auto20.2
Teleop113.9
End10.6
Third
2898
#34
97.62.5
101.198.6
Auto13.7
Teleop78.2
End7.0
blue by 22.6
2411
#20
120.30.4
121.0120.6
Auto12.5
Teleop91.4
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed