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Red304
1571105.6
2811175.3
367388.6
Blue177
4127108.1
6465118.0
4662127.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276271200250300350400304177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.32.9
163.5166.5
Auto22.8
Teleop130.6
End20.1
red by 48.1
127.20.5
125.5126.0
Auto15.6
Teleop99.6
End13.5
Second
1571
#19
105.61.5
107.7106.2
Auto13.6
Teleop87.9
End3.0
blue by 12.4
6465
#18
118.03.6
109.5113.1
Auto14.9
Teleop94.4
End9.7
Third
3673
#31
88.60.5
87.387.8
Auto11.1
Teleop66.6
End11.1
blue by 19.4
4127
#27
108.11.7
111.3109.6
Auto17.1
Teleop79.5
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed