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Red346
5803159.2
753130.7
1510140.6
Blue190
2733144.3
2374125.0
2411120.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351266100200300400500600346190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.21.9
153.7155.5
Auto26.1
Teleop119.6
End12.3
red by 14.9
144.33.2
138.4141.7
Auto21.8
Teleop109.1
End12.4
Second
140.62.7
134.6137.4
Auto16.6
Teleop106.4
End18.3
red by 15.6
2374
#22
125.02.3
118.7121.0
Auto18.9
Teleop94.7
End13.5
Third
753
#16
130.70.1
130.4130.3
Auto16.0
Teleop99.2
End14.3
red by 10.5
2411
#20
120.30.2
120.6120.7
Auto12.5
Teleop91.4
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed