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Red347
367388.6
4513180.9
143298.8
Blue135
4125133.9
597788.8
5970126.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315255100200400500600347135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.93.9
170.0173.8
Auto21.8
Teleop133.8
End25.2
red by 47.0
4125
#21
133.92.1
131.0133.0
Auto15.4
Teleop104.0
End13.1
Second
1432
#29
98.81.1
97.798.8
Auto15.7
Teleop78.2
End2.5
blue by 27.8
5970
#28
126.61.0
130.5129.5
Auto16.0
Teleop102.5
End4.9
Third
3673
#31
88.60.8
87.888.6
Auto11.1
Teleop66.6
End11.1
blue by 0.2
5977
#36
88.82.7
91.588.8
Auto13.1
Teleop72.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed