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Red312
957157.9
6445137.6
4488160.1
Blue278
5295119.7
753133.7
1425184.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288306150200250350400450312278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#11
160.15.6
127.5133.1
Auto18.9
Teleop120.6
End23.5
blue by 24.8
184.911.5
119.6131.1
Auto21.2
Teleop127.8
End36.9
Second
957
#2
157.912.2
92.7104.8
Auto19.9
Teleop118.1
End17.4
red by 24.1
753
#15
133.70.3
130.6130.9
Auto16.3
Teleop101.0
End15.2
Third
6445
#13
137.60.2
130.3130.1
Auto16.9
Teleop109.5
End8.3
red by 17.8
5295
#29
119.76.8
95.6102.4
Auto16.0
Teleop87.4
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned