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Qual 112018 PNW District Wilsonville Event
Red172
405190.7
4043104.3
1540153.8
Blue352
997148.8
5198110.7
6696132.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246310100200400500600172352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#8
153.80.5
144.9→145.3
Auto19.2
Teleop123.0
End13.1
red by 5.0
997
#9
148.811.4
112.0→123.4
Auto17.4
Teleop118.5
End12.0
Second
4043
#36
104.36.2
94.8→101.0
Auto13.6
Teleop79.0
End14.0
blue by 27.9
6696
#17
132.20.3
123.2→122.9
Auto17.6
Teleop100.6
End15.0
Third
4051
#31
90.70.3
95.3→95.0
Auto13.2
Teleop71.8
End4.5
blue by 20.0
5198
#37
110.710.9
88.5→99.4
Auto10.4
Teleop90.9
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed