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Red356
4488160.1
997148.8
2471157.0
Blue149
2521124.0
5748115.5
4309132.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3842120100300500600356149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#11
160.15.5
133.1138.6
Auto18.9
Teleop120.6
End23.5
red by 27.8
4309
#14
132.39.3
101.8111.1
Auto16.2
Teleop98.0
End21.1
Second
157.06.3
128.5134.8
Auto15.2
Teleop110.1
End34.4
red by 32.9
2521
#18
124.03.1
105.3108.4
Auto15.4
Teleop94.7
End13.2
Third
997
#9
148.88.8
123.4132.2
Auto17.4
Teleop118.5
End12.0
red by 33.3
5748
#35
115.53.9
106.8110.7
Auto19.5
Teleop87.3
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed