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Red378
597787.6
2990174.9
5085121.8
Blue190
4043104.3
6845122.1
6343122.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2263050100400500600378190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.98.5
122.8131.3
Auto26.7
Teleop133.0
End11.4
red by 52.0
6343
#26
122.94.3
110.9115.2
Auto14.7
Teleop92.0
End17.3
Second
5085
#16
121.81.5
102.5104.0
Auto17.1
Teleop95.6
End9.8
blue by 0.3
6845
#25
122.10.4
122.1122.5
Auto16.9
Teleop95.2
End11.3
Third
5977
#33
87.62.5
83.881.3
Auto12.9
Teleop69.7
End7.6
blue by 16.7
4043
#36
104.32.8
101.0103.8
Auto13.6
Teleop79.0
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed