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Red240
4127114.0
411096.3
1540153.8
Blue258
2635155.5
2374135.4
413297.8
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242320100200400500600240258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.80.2
145.2145.0
Auto19.2
Teleop123.0
End13.1
blue by 1.7
155.57.3
117.6124.9
Auto21.0
Teleop113.7
End19.3
Second
4127
#12
114.01.4
108.0109.4
Auto17.8
Teleop82.5
End15.5
blue by 21.4
135.41.1
128.4129.4
Auto22.5
Teleop100.9
End11.4
Third
4110
#34
96.32.6
99.396.7
Auto15.6
Teleop77.6
End6.3
blue by 1.5
4132
#22
97.80.0
101.3101.3
Auto13.8
Teleop77.8
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed