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Red396
957157.9
4309132.3
955124.6
Blue241
5085121.8
1540153.8
2635155.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102790100200400500600700396241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#2
157.915.7
77.092.7
Auto19.9
Teleop118.1
End17.4
red by 2.4
155.514.5
88.2102.7
Auto21.0
Teleop113.7
End19.3
Second
4309
#14
132.316.1
73.389.4
Auto16.2
Teleop98.0
End21.1
blue by 21.5
153.80.8
144.0144.9
Auto19.2
Teleop123.0
End13.1
Third
955
#32
124.613.6
96.2109.8
Auto13.6
Teleop92.3
End18.6
red by 2.8
5085
#16
121.81.2
99.8101.1
Auto17.1
Teleop95.6
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed