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Red194
4488160.1
6343122.9
847138.2
Blue176
6443130.9
3636109.8
6442119.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3282560100200400500600194176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#11
160.111.6
115.9127.5
Auto18.9
Teleop120.6
End23.5
red by 29.3
6443
#20
130.915.5
79.094.5
Auto16.2
Teleop102.5
End12.9
Second
847
#10
138.215.6
78.193.7
Auto20.0
Teleop107.1
End9.2
red by 19.1
6442
#28
119.116.4
70.887.2
Auto16.1
Teleop96.0
End10.5
Third
6343
#26
122.914.6
87.3101.9
Auto14.7
Teleop92.0
End17.3
red by 13.1
3636
#24
109.815.7
77.292.9
Auto16.0
Teleop81.3
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed