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Red189
1359118.1
5295119.7
5198110.7
Blue302
4309132.3
753133.7
6696132.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2503190100200400500600700189302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5295
#29
119.73.1
108.5111.7
Auto16.0
Teleop87.4
End16.8
blue by 14.0
753
#15
133.70.6
131.7132.3
Auto16.3
Teleop101.0
End15.2
Second
1359
#27
118.13.9
106.1110.0
Auto13.3
Teleop92.3
End11.5
blue by 14.2
4309
#14
132.34.5
111.1115.6
Auto16.2
Teleop98.0
End21.1
Third
5198
#37
110.71.8
107.7109.6
Auto10.4
Teleop90.9
End7.9
blue by 21.5
6696
#17
132.20.1
123.1123.2
Auto17.6
Teleop100.6
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed