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Red172
4043104.3
6442119.1
4057135.7
Blue392
4488160.1
6443130.9
2990174.9
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1663780100200300500600172392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4057
#23
135.73.1
116.6119.7
Auto20.2
Teleop97.5
End21.2
blue by 39.3
174.99.9
131.3141.2
Auto26.7
Teleop133.0
End11.4
Second
6442
#28
119.11.5
99.9101.5
Auto16.1
Teleop96.0
End10.5
blue by 41.0
4488
#11
160.13.2
138.6141.9
Auto18.9
Teleop120.6
End23.5
Third
4043
#36
104.30.9
103.8104.7
Auto13.6
Teleop79.0
End14.0
blue by 26.5
6443
#20
130.96.3
107.6113.9
Auto16.2
Teleop102.5
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed