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Red274
847138.2
5748115.5
568116.7
Blue179
5198110.7
955124.6
367394.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289236100200400500274179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
847
#10
138.26.4
107.3113.7
Auto20.0
Teleop107.1
End9.2
red by 13.6
955
#32
124.63.1
123.9127.0
Auto13.6
Teleop92.3
End18.6
Second
568
#19
116.74.5
101.6106.1
Auto16.8
Teleop89.8
End10.9
red by 6.0
5198
#37
110.70.9
109.6110.5
Auto10.4
Teleop90.9
End7.9
Third
5748
#35
115.50.9
110.7111.6
Auto19.5
Teleop87.3
End9.7
red by 20.6
3673
#30
94.80.1
89.889.7
Auto13.3
Teleop69.5
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed