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Red118
413297.8
997148.8
5295119.7
Blue327
2471157.0
4043104.3
2635155.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2662880100200400500600700118327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
#9
148.85.5
132.2137.7
Auto17.4
Teleop118.5
End12.0
blue by 8.2
157.03.8
134.8138.6
Auto15.2
Teleop110.1
End34.4
Second
5295
#29
119.71.8
111.7113.5
Auto16.0
Teleop87.4
End16.8
blue by 35.7
155.53.3
124.9128.2
Auto21.0
Teleop113.7
End19.3
Third
4132
#22
97.80.6
101.3100.7
Auto13.8
Teleop77.8
End6.2
blue by 6.5
4043
#36
104.30.0
104.7104.7
Auto13.6
Teleop79.0
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned