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Red275
4309132.3
1359118.1
847138.2
Blue155
411096.3
597787.6
753133.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317211100400500600275155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
847
#10
138.23.4
118.5121.9
Auto20.0
Teleop107.1
End9.2
red by 4.5
753
#15
133.70.3
132.9132.5
Auto16.3
Teleop101.0
End15.2
Second
4309
#14
132.33.1
119.0122.1
Auto16.2
Teleop98.0
End21.1
red by 36.0
4110
#34
96.30.6
95.996.5
Auto15.6
Teleop77.6
End6.3
Third
1359
#27
118.10.7
112.3111.6
Auto13.3
Teleop92.3
End11.5
red by 30.5
5977
#33
87.61.0
81.382.3
Auto12.9
Teleop69.7
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed