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Red157
568116.7
6445137.6
955124.6
Blue360
6442119.1
2471157.0
5198110.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2862700100200400500600157360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6445
#13
137.60.1
130.3130.4
Auto16.9
Teleop109.5
End8.3
blue by 19.4
157.04.6
138.6143.2
Auto15.2
Teleop110.1
End34.4
Second
955
#32
124.62.0
128.5130.5
Auto13.6
Teleop92.3
End18.6
red by 5.5
6442
#28
119.11.0
101.8102.8
Auto16.1
Teleop96.0
End10.5
Third
568
#19
116.73.5
106.1109.6
Auto16.8
Teleop89.8
End10.9
red by 6.0
5198
#37
110.70.1
110.5110.7
Auto10.4
Teleop90.9
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed