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Red122
3024107.7
7034122.6
367394.8
Blue431
6445137.6
2635155.5
4309132.3
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1923530100300400500122431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.62.6
110.6113.2
Auto14.0
Teleop93.5
End19.5
blue by 32.9
155.53.3
132.4135.7
Auto21.0
Teleop113.7
End19.3
Second
3024
#21
107.70.0
106.9106.9
Auto15.1
Teleop83.1
End6.4
blue by 29.9
6445
#13
137.60.3
130.4130.1
Auto16.9
Teleop109.5
End8.3
Third
3673
#30
94.80.3
89.890.1
Auto13.3
Teleop69.5
End13.7
blue by 37.5
4309
#14
132.32.1
122.1124.3
Auto16.2
Teleop98.0
End21.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed