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Red209
5085121.8
5198110.7
405190.7
Blue404
6442119.1
2990174.9
1359118.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204343100300400500600209404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5085
#16
121.82.7
109.1111.8
Auto17.1
Teleop95.6
End9.8
blue by 53.1
174.94.7
154.6159.3
Auto26.7
Teleop133.0
End11.4
Second
5198
#37
110.72.3
110.7113.0
Auto10.4
Teleop90.9
End7.9
blue by 8.3
6442
#28
119.13.0
102.8105.8
Auto16.1
Teleop96.0
End10.5
Third
4051
#31
90.70.6
91.691.0
Auto13.2
Teleop71.8
End4.5
blue by 27.3
1359
#27
118.10.4
111.6111.1
Auto13.3
Teleop92.3
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed