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Red258
2635155.5
367394.8
1359118.1
Blue295
4043104.3
568116.7
2990174.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247337100200300400500600258295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.54.9
135.7140.5
Auto21.0
Teleop113.7
End19.3
blue by 19.4
174.95.0
159.3164.3
Auto26.7
Teleop133.0
End11.4
Second
1359
#27
118.11.7
111.1112.8
Auto13.3
Teleop92.3
End11.5
red by 1.4
568
#19
116.72.4
110.9113.3
Auto16.8
Teleop89.8
End10.9
Third
3673
#30
94.80.3
90.190.4
Auto13.3
Teleop69.5
End13.7
blue by 9.5
4043
#36
104.31.5
108.7107.2
Auto13.6
Teleop79.0
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed