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Red234
413297.8
6696132.2
6442119.1
Blue321
955124.6
7034122.6
753133.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2522940100200400500600234321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6696
#17
132.21.4
126.0127.4
Auto17.6
Teleop100.6
End15.0
blue by 1.5
753
#15
133.70.4
132.0132.4
Auto16.3
Teleop101.0
End15.2
Second
6442
#28
119.13.4
109.6113.1
Auto16.1
Teleop96.0
End10.5
blue by 5.5
955
#32
124.63.6
130.7127.0
Auto13.6
Teleop92.3
End18.6
Third
4132
#22
97.80.0
97.998.0
Auto13.8
Teleop77.8
End6.2
blue by 24.8
122.60.3
114.8115.1
Auto14.0
Teleop93.5
End19.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed