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Red320
957157.9
6845122.1
597787.6
Blue343
997148.8
4309132.3
2374135.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2353580100200300400500600320343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#2
157.94.1
144.7148.9
Auto19.9
Teleop118.1
End17.4
red by 9.1
997
#9
148.81.2
143.8145.0
Auto17.4
Teleop118.5
End12.0
Second
6845
#25
122.11.2
120.8119.6
Auto16.9
Teleop95.2
End11.3
blue by 13.4
135.40.0
131.6131.7
Auto22.5
Teleop100.9
End11.4
Third
5977
#33
87.60.8
84.084.7
Auto12.9
Teleop69.7
End7.6
blue by 44.7
4309
#14
132.32.5
128.4130.9
Auto16.2
Teleop98.0
End21.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed