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Red228
6443130.9
1359118.1
5085121.8
Blue381
2990174.9
2635155.5
2521124.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245390100200300500600228381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6443
#20
130.92.0
128.6130.6
Auto16.2
Teleop102.5
End12.9
blue by 44.1
174.93.8
164.3168.1
Auto26.7
Teleop133.0
End11.4
Second
5085
#16
121.82.1
114.3116.4
Auto17.1
Teleop95.6
End9.8
blue by 33.7
155.54.3
140.5144.8
Auto21.0
Teleop113.7
End19.3
Third
1359
#27
118.12.2
112.8115.1
Auto13.3
Teleop92.3
End11.5
blue by 5.9
2521
#18
124.02.1
111.5113.7
Auto15.4
Teleop94.7
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed