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Red318
4127114.0
847138.2
367394.8
Blue182
955124.6
4043104.3
5295119.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2593180100200400500600700318182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
847
#10
138.23.9
127.5131.4
Auto20.0
Teleop107.1
End9.2
red by 13.6
955
#32
124.60.7
127.0126.3
Auto13.6
Teleop92.3
End18.6
Second
4127
#12
114.00.1
111.7111.5
Auto17.8
Teleop82.5
End15.5
blue by 5.7
5295
#29
119.73.3
114.0117.4
Auto16.0
Teleop87.4
End16.8
Third
3673
#30
94.80.7
90.491.1
Auto13.3
Teleop69.5
End13.7
blue by 9.5
4043
#36
104.30.4
107.2106.8
Auto13.6
Teleop79.0
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed